Our information Jones Nostril takes on the primary Premier League matches of 2023…
The Tottenham and Aston Villa match, on New 12 months’s Day at midday, broadcast stay on Sky Sports activities – Play SUPER 6 to win £250,000!
Tottenham are all the time one defeat away from an all-out disaster – one would possibly come right here.
I am a agency believer in Antonio Conte’s strategies, however his contract state of affairs, amid stories of ongoing negotiations, elevated his aspect’s pesky depth early in matches will hassle them sooner or later.
And when assessing match costs right here, the market is extremely skewed in favor of Tottenham, who’re very slim on 8/13 with Sky Guess to beat an enhancing Aston Villa.
Conte’s males have conceded first in every of their final 9 matches in all competitions, shedding 2-0 in six of them. It is a dependable physique of information pointing to severe flaws in the way in which Tottenham deal with matches.
Finally, a nimble, clever aspect with good defensive intelligence will make Spurs pay the worth. Villa might be that crew beneath Unai Emery and he has proven actually constructive indicators along with his performances towards Manchester United, Brighton and Liverpool. Emery’s aspect deserved wins over United and Brighton when evaluating efficiency information and making a wholesome anticipated objectives variety of 1.44 towards Liverpool in a match the place conceding first to Jurgen Klopp’s aspect is not very best from a state of the sport perspective.
There are lots of methods to make Aston Villa subsequent to your cash. Conserving it easy and supporting them to keep away from defeat at 5/4 with Sky Guess standing out as the important thing sport, however scoring Villa first at 15/8 and trustworthy to successful at half-time at 4/1 can also be value contemplating.
Predict the rating: 1-2 | Jones is aware of your finest wager: Aston Villa win or draw (5/4 with Sky Guess – wager right here!)
Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea match, New 12 months’s Day at 4.30pm, stay broadcast on Sky Sports activities – Play SUPER 6 to win £250,000!
Match charges look proper to me, with Chelsea more likely to get the job achieved at odds with that further high quality within the ultimate third, particularly with Morgan Gibbs-White lacking out to the hosts, however Forest will dig in and create issues for London at varied factors.
One space that is perhaps fertile for them is about items.
I believed Chelsea appeared shaky when defending the penalty space beneath strain from corners and free-kicks towards Bournemouth, Cherry making 0.29 of the anticipated objectives by means of set-pieces with Lloyd Kelly and Dominic Solanke each lacking a aim from shut vary. Since Graham Potter took over, Chelsea’s general defensive metrics from set items have began to plummet. They shipped 33 pictures from such situations to a predicted objectives again of three.18 — solely six groups had worse manufacturing than the day Potter took over.
With that in thoughts, it is undoubtedly value wanting on the coronary heart of Forest’s protection for risk.
Since Joe Worrall and Willy Boley have been paired collectively 4 video games in the past, they’ve had eight pictures between them and that is not together with Boley’s disallowed aim towards Manchester United.
Worrall is 13/8 with Sky Guess and Boly is 2/1 to have not less than one shot within the participant pictures market. These two costs sound nice – and I might again a 4/5 bid for both of them for not less than one likelihood towards Chelsea as a part of the deal 1/3 New 12 months’s Eve double.